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2024-12-14 00:28:22

South Korean investors flocked to the gold market. Today, the South Korean National Assembly passed the "Yin Xiyue General Special Inspection Law for Civil Disturbance" and the "Jin Jianxit Inspection Law". According to a survey released by the Korean polling agency on the 12th, 74.8% of the respondents thought that President Yin Xiyue should immediately step down or be impeached, and stop performing his duties. The political situation is turbulent, and the sales of gold bars of the five major banks in South Korea have also increased significantly. On the first day after the emergency martial law incident, that is, on the 4th of this month, more than 1.5 billion won of gold bars were sold, far exceeding the daily average. (CCTV Finance)US National Security Adviser Sullivan: My goal is to reach a hostage exchange and ceasefire agreement (in Gaza) this month.Brazilian Presidential Spokesman: President Lula will run for re-election in 2026.


Tian Xuan, Dean of Tsinghua University National Institute of Finance and Professor of Finance: Comprehensive measures are taken to promote sustained and stable economic growth and high-quality development. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed that next year, we should persist in striving for progress while maintaining stability, promoting stability through progress, maintaining integrity and innovation, making innovations before breaking, systematically integrating and cooperating, enriching and improving the policy toolbox, and improving the foresight, pertinence and effectiveness of macro-control. In this regard, Tian Xuan, dean of Tsinghua University National Finance Research Institute and professor of finance, said that the meeting clarified the core strategy of economic work next year, emphasized the innovation, systematicness and coordination of policies, and reflected the decision-makers' accurate judgment on the economic situation and positive attitude towards new changes and challenges. Tian Xuan said that compared with the past, the current policy orientation is more positive, such as "moderately loose monetary policy" and "more active fiscal policy", paying more attention to innovation, while adhering to the basic principles and bottom line, exploring new working ideas, paying more attention to the systematic nature of policies, considering the mutual influence and synergistic effect between various policies and the coordination and cooperation between different departments and policies, and maximizing the policy effect through comprehensive policies to solve the outstanding problems currently facing and promote the economy. (SSE)European Central Bank President Lagarde: We must be very cautious. European Central Bank President Lagarde: We must be very cautious because service prices and wages are rising rapidly. Financial difficulties are self-created uncertainties.US Secretary of State Blinken: Turkish interests in Syria focus on combating terrorism; Key external participants should not trigger new conflicts.


Ceng Gang, chief expert and director of Shanghai Finance and Development Laboratory: To further improve the governance structure of the restructured small and medium-sized banks, Ceng Gang, chief expert and director of Shanghai Finance and Development Laboratory, told reporters that in the past, the risk disposal and resolution of small and medium-sized financial institutions have been promoted in an orderly manner. The overall idea is to reduce the amount and improve the quality through mergers and acquisitions, that is, to replenish capital during the merger and reorganization process, on the one hand, to effectively deal with the stock risks, on the other hand, to enhance the ability of new institutions to cope with competition and risks through the scale effect formed after the merger. (SSE)Sony rose more than 2% and hit a new high. Institutions are optimistic about its unique positioning. SONY.US rose more than 2%, hitting a maximum of $22.67, a record high since February 2022. Sony's Japanese shares rose nearly 3% today, once again hitting a record high. In the news, Sony previously announced that for the current fiscal year that will end at the end of March next year, the expected operating profit will reach 1.31 trillion yen, about six times that of fiscal year 1999. Among them, the entertainment business is expected to contribute 60% of the overall profit, while the electronic business is no longer reported as a department alone. Yasuo Nakane, head of global technology research at Mizuho, explained that Sony has a horizontal axis in film, music, games and animation, and a vertical axis from production to distribution. The company also has electronic technology, including image sensors, cameras and software, which makes it in a unique position compared with Apple, Netflix or Samsung.Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)

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